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The S&P 500 Didn’t Drop Without Warning. Here’s the Paper Trail
Six warnings. Dated and documented. If you want the next one before it happens — that’s what Tactical Trader Notes is built for. The S&P 500 closed at 6,506 on…
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Metals Plummeting – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. The Fed Held — But the Message Hit Like a Punch in the Face The Fed kept rates at 3.5–3.75% for the second straight meeting. No surprise there. But…
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Fed Day + More Escalation – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Fed Day: The Dot Plot Is What I Care About The Fed is expected to hold rates today at 3.5%–3.75% — that part’s a lock. What actually matters is…
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Tremors – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Canada Surprises: Cool Inflation, Hot Housing Canadian CPI came in across the board lower than expected. Headline inflation in February was 1.8% year-over-year. Canadian housing starts also came in…
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Canadian Job Loss – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Oil Blinks — But Don’t Relax WTI is down about 1.5% this morning, pulling back below $94 after Trump quietly removed sanctions on Russian oil to help ease supply.…
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Oil Shock Gets Worse – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. It’s Beyond The Strait Now WTI crude is past $103 a barrel as I write this — with a trading range today already spanning $96 to $119. The Iran…
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Job Shock & Oil – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. The Jobs Report: Not a Miss, a Reversal The February jobs report dropped this morning and it’s ugly. The U.S. economy shed 92,000 jobs — the forecast was a…
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$100 Oil Soon? 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. The Strait of Hormuz: 20% of Global Oil Supply Is Now a Question Mark As I write this, WTI is at $78 and Brent is at $84. The U.S.-Israel-Iran…
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War, Deals & Bonds – 5 Things I Am Watching Today?
1. The Strait of Hormuz Shutdown Nobody Wants to Talk About The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed — not because anyone physically blocked it, but because insurance has pulled…
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There’s More Happening – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Market Not Calibrated for Escalation Everything remains fluid, but the market is not calibrated for this escalation of war. Everyone had assumed that it would be like Venezuela, and…
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Everything Is Fluid – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Middle East Flashpoint: War on Iran Escalates This is escalating. The U.K. and France are apparently talking about joining to “protect.” U.S. bases in Gulf countries are constantly under…
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Sticky Inflation – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Inflation Bites Back — PPI Blows Up the Fed Cut Trade January U.S. PPI just hit and it’s ugly. Headline 0.5% MoM — nearly double the 0.3% expected. That’s…
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Potential War? 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Economic Data — Tariffs Are Back, Messier Than Before Slow data day, but the macro backdrop is anything but quiet. The Supreme Court struck down Trump’s emergency tariffs last…
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Rejection – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Housing Cooling, Fed Speak & Trade Watch U.S. home prices continue to cool a little bit — data confirmed that again this morning. It’s not a collapse situation, but…
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Trump Is Curious – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Slow Data Week – Watch the Narrative It’s a relatively slow data week for the U.S. and Canada. However, we do get to hear from a bunch of Federal…
Zulfiqar Research
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Moe Zulfiqar
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