Category: 5 Things Daily
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Peace Or Market Manipulations? 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Oil’s Wild Ride: Don’t Confuse a Bounce With a Bottom As I write this, Brent crude is hovering near $99 and WTI is in the high $80s, trying to…
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Don’t Buy The Peace Rumor? 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Oil Snaps Back — Iran Says No Deal Yesterday almost felt like a relief valve. And Hey! The market showed its hands too…in case peace talks are happening for…
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War, Oil, Whiplash – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. The Iran Story Is Moving Fast — Don’t Get Caught on the Wrong Side of It Trump posted over the weekend that he’d had “productive conversations” with Iran and…
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Metals Plummeting – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. The Fed Held — But the Message Hit Like a Punch in the Face The Fed kept rates at 3.5–3.75% for the second straight meeting. No surprise there. But…
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Fed Day + More Escalation – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Fed Day: The Dot Plot Is What I Care About The Fed is expected to hold rates today at 3.5%–3.75% — that part’s a lock. What actually matters is…
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Tremors – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Canada Surprises: Cool Inflation, Hot Housing Canadian CPI came in across the board lower than expected. Headline inflation in February was 1.8% year-over-year. Canadian housing starts also came in…
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Canadian Job Loss – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Oil Blinks — But Don’t Relax WTI is down about 1.5% this morning, pulling back below $94 after Trump quietly removed sanctions on Russian oil to help ease supply.…
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Oil Shock Gets Worse – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. It’s Beyond The Strait Now WTI crude is past $103 a barrel as I write this — with a trading range today already spanning $96 to $119. The Iran…
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Job Shock & Oil – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. The Jobs Report: Not a Miss, a Reversal The February jobs report dropped this morning and it’s ugly. The U.S. economy shed 92,000 jobs — the forecast was a…
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$100 Oil Soon? 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. The Strait of Hormuz: 20% of Global Oil Supply Is Now a Question Mark As I write this, WTI is at $78 and Brent is at $84. The U.S.-Israel-Iran…
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War, Deals & Bonds – 5 Things I Am Watching Today?
1. The Strait of Hormuz Shutdown Nobody Wants to Talk About The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed — not because anyone physically blocked it, but because insurance has pulled…
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There’s More Happening – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Market Not Calibrated for Escalation Everything remains fluid, but the market is not calibrated for this escalation of war. Everyone had assumed that it would be like Venezuela, and…
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Everything Is Fluid – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Middle East Flashpoint: War on Iran Escalates This is escalating. The U.K. and France are apparently talking about joining to “protect.” U.S. bases in Gulf countries are constantly under…
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Sticky Inflation – 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Inflation Bites Back — PPI Blows Up the Fed Cut Trade January U.S. PPI just hit and it’s ugly. Headline 0.5% MoM — nearly double the 0.3% expected. That’s…
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Potential War? 5 Things I Am Watching Today
1. Economic Data — Tariffs Are Back, Messier Than Before Slow data day, but the macro backdrop is anything but quiet. The Supreme Court struck down Trump’s emergency tariffs last…